I don't know what time I should aim for in the Edinburgh Marathon in June. I did my first marathon in Dublin in October in 3:53 (half time of 1:47 - blew up completely after mile 16!) and don't know what to aim for in Edinburgh. I have learned from my mistakes in Dublin (and indeed in the training I did for Dublin) i.e. do more long runs and don't go out too fast on the day, but I just know Im capable of a lot more. My question to you all is this - should I aim for the sub 3:45/close to 3:30 that I should be able to do if I can just hold the 1:47 pace for the second half, or should I be sensible and accept that I might not be able to knock that amount of time off this soon? Help!
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Going for 3.30 is another step up - looking at the way you blew up you probably weren't up to 3.30 pace in October so you'd have to judge whether you are that much fitter now than then. If you are relatively new to running then you probably are fitter so 3.30 could be realistic. I've got the same problem with London - whether to play safe or go for sub 3. Why not do a half marathon as a guide ?
If you did 1.47 in the marathon, no doubt you'd be quicker over a measured 1/2M race route. However, to maintain 1.47 for the second half of a marathon you have to train to do so.
Personally, I'd take a look at the BT thread (did I just say that!)as it has plenty of information on building up your endurance on a low heart rate, which you need for a good marathon.
Sorry I can't be more specific! However, I will say you've done 1 marathon in sub 4, so that's a great time to build on!
Good luck!